Trader
0xff0b7b47d60c9dc36b827cfafc063e707dfd7b8f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$4
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
17W / 4L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
81%
17W / 4L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
22
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.32
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.64
$7 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $254 · all-time $16,879
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? |
Yes |
63 |
0.998 |
$62.94 |
$-0.06 |
-0.1% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
10 |
0.956 |
$9.55 |
$-0.28 |
-2.8% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
5 |
0.841 |
$4.35 |
$-0.65 |
-13.0% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
1 |
0.603 |
$0.83 |
$-0.17 |
-17.3% |
| Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? |
No |
1 |
0.015 |
$0.02 |
$-0.98 |
-97.9% |