PnL (30d)

−$36

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

85%

162W / 29L · 68 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

162W / 31L · 66 open

Trades (30d)

259

across 215 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.25

avg win $0 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.55

$45 won / $81 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$55

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	84.8% 162W/29L	215	$2,722
🏛 Politics	71.4% 5W/2L	5	$98
🎬 Culture	75.0% 6W/2L	5	$75
💵 Economy	100.0% 3W/0L	3	$35
⚽ Sports	50.0% 2W/2L	3	$7
🤖 Tech	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$35

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	10	0.958	$9.58	$-0.25	-2.5%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	5	0.838	$4.33	$-0.67	-13.3%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	1	0.604	$0.83	$-0.17	-17.2%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?	No	1	0.015	$0.02	$-0.98	-97.9%