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Trader leaderboard/ndb1

ndb1

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$621,101
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4,413
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+36.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
1,259W / 633L · 376 open
Win Return (30d)
67%
1,480W / 714L · 74 open
Trades (30d)
2,268
across 163 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
+$6,825.28
avg win $14,254 · loss $15,137
Profit Factor
2.78
$969,262 won / $348,162 lost
Reward / Risk
0.94
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$88
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,702 · all-time $107,908,710

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 90.1% 6,215W/683L 208 $7,193,873
⚽ Sports 53.8% 14W/12L 54 $19,972
₿ Crypto 1 $827
🎬 Culture 1 $187

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

85 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 1,025,000 0.555 $568,875.00 $56,375.00 +11.0%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,025,000 0.445 $456,125.00 $-56,375.00 -11.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 286,438 0.715 $204,803.02 $4,295.42 +2.1%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 88,344 0.990 $87,416.00 $2,880.80 +3.4%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 90,069 0.954 $85,880.37 $8,729.26 +11.3%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 85,634 0.962 $82,336.93 $4,938.59 +6.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No 43,049 0.976 $42,016.19 $1,338.84 +3.3%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 40,115 0.985 $39,493.71 $986.40 +2.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,877 0.979 $30,212.78 $396.70 +1.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,000 0.978 $29,325.00 $362.76 +1.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,000 0.966 $28,965.00 $135.00 +0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No 25,218 0.979 $24,675.44 $305.21 +1.3%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 44,919 0.440 $19,764.57 $844.44 +4.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No 19,960 0.979 $19,530.54 $529.37 +2.8%
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? Soto 14,620 0.976 $14,262.03 $10,285.95 +258.7%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? Yes 22,060 0.605 $13,346.18 $5,984.65 +81.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11,834 0.982 $11,614.67 $13.75 +0.1%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 13,237 0.705 $9,332.14 $1,897.48 +25.5%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 5,898 0.400 $2,359.23 $-48.19 -2.0%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal No 2,150 0.895 $1,923.95 $44.85 +2.4%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 4,665 0.395 $1,842.70 $265.93 +16.9%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No 1,482 0.988 $1,464.06 $498.37 +51.6%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes 3,429 0.355 $1,217.26 $-874.37 -41.8%
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? No 1,218 0.993 $1,209.19 $247.20 +25.7%
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes 1,542 0.775 $1,195.38 $122.42 +11.4%