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Trader leaderboard/ndb1

ndb1

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227
PnL (30d)
+$673,929
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7,793
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
6,215W / 683L · 478 open
Win Return (30d)
89%
6,505W / 785L · 86 open
Trades (30d)
7,376
across 208 markets · ~35 per market
EV / position
+$5,663.27
avg win $11,500 · loss $14,226
Profit Factor
2.75
$1,058,024 won / $384,096 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$244
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,181 · all-time $107,907,505

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 90.1% 6,215W/683L 208 $7,193,873
⚽ Sports 53.8% 14W/12L 57 $20,101
₿ Crypto 1 $828
🎬 Culture 1 $187

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

87 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 1,025,000 0.555 $568,875.00 $56,375.00 +11.0%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 1,025,000 0.445 $456,125.00 $-56,375.00 -11.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No 286,438 0.705 $201,938.64 $1,431.04 +0.7%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 88,344 0.988 $87,239.32 $2,704.11 +3.2%
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No 90,069 0.954 $85,880.37 $8,729.26 +11.3%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No 85,634 0.962 $82,336.93 $4,938.59 +6.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No 43,049 0.976 $42,016.19 $1,338.84 +3.3%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? No 40,115 0.984 $39,453.59 $946.28 +2.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,877 0.979 $30,212.78 $396.70 +1.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,000 0.978 $29,340.00 $377.76 +1.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No 30,000 0.966 $28,980.00 $150.00 +0.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No 25,218 0.978 $24,662.83 $292.60 +1.2%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 44,919 0.440 $19,764.57 $844.44 +4.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No 19,960 0.975 $19,460.68 $459.51 +2.4%
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? Soto 14,620 0.979 $14,313.21 $10,337.12 +260.0%
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? Yes 22,060 0.605 $13,346.18 $5,984.65 +81.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No 11,834 0.982 $11,614.67 $13.75 +0.1%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 13,237 0.705 $9,332.14 $1,897.48 +25.5%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 5,898 0.405 $2,388.72 $-18.70 -0.8%
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal No 2,150 0.910 $1,956.19 $77.10 +4.1%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 4,690 0.395 $1,852.57 $267.36 +16.9%
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? No 1,482 0.988 $1,464.06 $498.37 +51.6%
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes 3,429 0.360 $1,234.41 $-857.23 -41.0%
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? No 1,218 0.993 $1,208.58 $246.59 +25.6%
Will the Baltimore Ravens make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes 1,542 0.775 $1,195.38 $122.42 +11.4%