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Trader leaderboard/winexecutescale

winexecutescale

0xfe9339e4eca140c1a16f94a52b5cde4d29768d0e
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$53
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
59W / 69L · 28 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
72W / 82L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
156
across 87 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.83
avg win $7 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.35
$207 won / $154 lost
Reward / Risk
1.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,745 · all-time $530,585

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.4% 649W/666L 721 $7,328
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 29 $217
🎬 Culture 18.2% 2W/9L 28 $167
💵 Economy 75.0% 15W/5L 21 $185
₿ Crypto 45.5% 5W/6L 14 $69
🤖 Tech 6 $27
🌤 Weather 1 $6
🔬 Science 1 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No 41 0.957 $39.22 $4.97 +14.5%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? No 39 0.890 $34.71 $12.29 +54.8%
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 33 0.950 $31.33 $12.66 +67.8%
Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 50 0.485 $24.25 $4.22 +21.1%
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? No 24 0.971 $23.77 $7.73 +48.2%
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 34 0.670 $22.48 $10.60 +89.2%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No 26 0.837 $21.40 $1.34 +6.7%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 23 0.923 $21.23 $3.98 +23.1%
Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 67.5 21 0.977 $20.52 $5.40 +35.7%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August? Yes 22 0.925 $20.36 $7.16 +54.2%
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $14.97 +299.4%
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.951 $19.96 $7.57 +61.1%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 26 0.765 $19.89 $-0.47 -2.3%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30? No 22 0.891 $19.61 $0.47 +2.5%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 23 0.850 $19.55 $9.66 +97.7%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in August? Yes 28 0.675 $18.99 $1.83 +10.7%
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? No 19 0.992 $18.63 $3.42 +22.5%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 22 0.790 $17.54 $6.44 +58.0%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No 21 0.805 $17.10 $11.37 +198.1%
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 24 0.700 $16.80 $3.84 +29.6%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 30 0.555 $16.65 $0.05 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.785 $16.51 $1.70 +11.5%
Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August? Yes 29 0.565 $16.38 $1.16 +7.6%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 20 0.815 $16.30 $2.70 +19.8%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 19 0.855 $16.25 $9.40 +137.5%