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Trader leaderboard/winexecutescale

winexecutescale

0xfe9339e4eca140c1a16f94a52b5cde4d29768d0e
PnL (30d)
−$127
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$57
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
648W / 666L · 288 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
784W / 814L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
1,602
across 721 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.24
avg win $6 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.92
$1,496 won / $1,623 lost
Reward / Risk
1.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$76
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,574 · all-time $530,414

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.3% 648W/666L 721 $7,328
🏛 Politics 42.9% 3W/4L 33 $227
🎬 Culture 18.8% 3W/13L 32 $178
💵 Economy 69.6% 16W/7L 25 $212
₿ Crypto 42.9% 6W/8L 18 $91
🤖 Tech 6 $27
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $15
🔬 Science 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No 41 0.957 $39.22 $4.97 +14.5%
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? No 39 0.895 $34.91 $12.48 +55.7%
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 33 0.944 $31.15 $12.47 +66.8%
Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 50 0.485 $24.25 $4.22 +21.1%
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? No 24 0.961 $23.52 $7.48 +46.6%
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 34 0.670 $22.48 $10.60 +89.2%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? No 26 0.836 $21.38 $1.31 +6.5%
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 23 0.914 $21.02 $3.77 +21.9%
Will the Chicago White Sox win more than 67.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 67.5 21 0.979 $20.55 $5.43 +35.9%
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? No 20 0.999 $19.97 $14.97 +299.4%
Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August? Yes 22 0.907 $19.95 $6.75 +51.2%
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.950 $19.95 $7.56 +61.0%
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes 26 0.760 $19.76 $-0.60 -2.9%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30? No 22 0.891 $19.60 $0.46 +2.4%
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 23 0.835 $19.20 $9.31 +94.2%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in August? Yes 28 0.675 $18.99 $1.83 +10.7%
Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? No 19 0.992 $18.63 $3.42 +22.5%
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? No 22 0.790 $17.54 $6.44 +58.0%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No 21 0.805 $17.10 $11.37 +198.1%
Will "Dude" be said 20+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 3? No 24 0.705 $16.92 $3.96 +30.6%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 30 0.555 $16.65 $0.05 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 21 0.785 $16.51 $1.70 +11.5%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 19 0.855 $16.25 $9.40 +137.5%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 20 0.805 $16.10 $2.50 +18.4%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes 23 0.700 $16.10 $7.06 +78.1%