| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.235 |
$470.00 |
$-650.15 |
-58.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
1,041 |
0.400 |
$416.38 |
$-151.56 |
-26.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.080 |
$240.00 |
$-213.41 |
-47.1% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
No |
750 |
0.285 |
$213.61 |
$8.17 |
+4.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
700 |
0.295 |
$206.50 |
$-235.49 |
-53.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
2,102 |
0.090 |
$189.19 |
$-700.81 |
-78.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.165 |
$165.00 |
$-94.38 |
-36.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
173 |
0.785 |
$135.44 |
$-14.56 |
-9.7% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.085 |
$127.50 |
$-10.30 |
-7.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.110 |
$110.00 |
$-211.00 |
-65.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
162 |
0.655 |
$106.07 |
$6.07 |
+6.1% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
169 |
0.610 |
$102.80 |
$2.80 |
+2.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
114 |
0.835 |
$94.89 |
$-5.11 |
-5.1% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
100 |
0.870 |
$87.00 |
$6.00 |
+7.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
750 |
0.110 |
$82.50 |
$-202.50 |
-71.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.022 |
$67.50 |
$-745.45 |
-91.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
167 |
0.390 |
$65.16 |
$5.16 |
+8.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
319 |
0.195 |
$62.23 |
$-87.77 |
-58.5% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.105 |
$52.50 |
$-37.50 |
-41.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
95 |
0.542 |
$51.45 |
$1.45 |
+2.9% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.033 |
$48.75 |
$-31.39 |
-39.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
108 |
0.365 |
$39.46 |
$-0.54 |
-1.4% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
34 |
0.975 |
$33.22 |
$3.22 |
+10.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
100 |
0.325 |
$32.50 |
$-1.50 |
-4.4% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
140 |
0.195 |
$27.30 |
$2.10 |
+8.3% |