| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.215 |
$430.00 |
$-690.15 |
-61.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
1,041 |
0.380 |
$395.56 |
$-172.38 |
-30.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
2,102 |
0.115 |
$241.74 |
$-648.25 |
-72.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.070 |
$210.00 |
$-243.41 |
-53.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
700 |
0.295 |
$206.50 |
$-235.49 |
-53.3% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
No |
750 |
0.270 |
$202.44 |
$-3.00 |
-1.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.165 |
$165.00 |
$-94.38 |
-36.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
173 |
0.805 |
$138.89 |
$-11.11 |
-7.4% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.085 |
$127.50 |
$-10.30 |
-7.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
162 |
0.665 |
$107.69 |
$7.69 |
+7.7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.105 |
$105.00 |
$-216.00 |
-67.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
114 |
0.845 |
$96.02 |
$-3.98 |
-4.0% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
169 |
0.525 |
$88.48 |
$-11.52 |
-11.5% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
100 |
0.870 |
$87.00 |
$6.00 |
+7.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
750 |
0.115 |
$86.25 |
$-198.75 |
-69.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
No |
167 |
0.400 |
$66.83 |
$6.83 |
+11.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
319 |
0.205 |
$65.43 |
$-84.57 |
-56.4% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.021 |
$64.20 |
$-748.75 |
-92.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
95 |
0.546 |
$51.83 |
$1.83 |
+3.7% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.033 |
$48.75 |
$-31.39 |
-39.2% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? |
Yes |
500 |
0.080 |
$40.00 |
$-50.00 |
-55.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
108 |
0.365 |
$39.46 |
$-0.54 |
-1.4% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
34 |
0.972 |
$33.12 |
$3.12 |
+10.4% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
100 |
0.325 |
$32.50 |
$-1.50 |
-4.4% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
140 |
0.200 |
$28.00 |
$2.80 |
+11.1% |