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Trader leaderboard/SmokeDrinkPerm

SmokeDrinkPerm

0xfe61fb8f6d23d20cbcbcd0035604a887ea8fe9c2
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
42%
5W / 7L
Trades (30d)
12
across 10 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.65
avg win $1
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $437 · all-time $116,958

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 839W/419L 872 $10,968
₿ Crypto 63.7% 51W/29L 74 $882
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/9L 29 $392
🎬 Culture 44.8% 13W/16L 20 $290
💵 Economy 8 $44
🔬 Science 2 $29
⚽ Sports 2 $33
🌤 Weather 1 $14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 14 0.991 $14.20 $0.17 +1.2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? Yes 14 1.000 $13.94 $0.45 +3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? Yes 14 1.000 $13.85 $0.69 +5.2%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 13 0.966 $12.93 $0.16 +1.3%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 13 0.845 $10.67 $-0.19 -1.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 14 0.735 $10.55 $-0.22 -2.0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.485 $10.40 $3.32 +47.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 16 0.645 $10.18 $3.08 +43.3%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 10 0.955 $9.55 $0.65 +7.3%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 10 0.935 $9.34 $0.85 +10.0%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 14 0.615 $8.78 $1.21 +16.0%
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 9 0.955 $8.60 $-0.04 -0.5%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 10 0.865 $8.37 $-0.05 -0.6%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 11 0.675 $7.31 $-0.81 -10.0%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 11 0.665 $7.05 $-0.26 -3.6%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 7 0.941 $6.68 $0.00 +0.0%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 7 0.865 $5.82 $-0.24 -3.9%
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.981 $4.90 $0.45 +10.2%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 9 0.555 $4.85 $-3.19 -39.7%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 5 0.955 $4.77 $0.22 +4.9%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? No 5 0.954 $4.77 $0.17 +3.7%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.62 +15.2%
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.940 $4.70 $0.20 +4.4%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.925 $4.62 $0.88 +23.3%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.905 $4.53 $0.07 +1.7%