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Trader leaderboard/SmokeDrinkPerm

SmokeDrinkPerm

0xfe61fb8f6d23d20cbcbcd0035604a887ea8fe9c2
PnL (30d)
+$231
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
839W / 419L · 115 open
Win Return (30d)
65%
867W / 466L · 40 open
Trades (30d)
1,373
across 869 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.29
avg win $1 · loss $4
Profit Factor
1.34
$911 won / $680 lost
Reward / Risk
0.40
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $437 · all-time $116,958

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 839W/419L 869 $10,919
₿ Crypto 66.7% 78W/39L 92 $1,163
🏛 Politics 18.2% 2W/9L 31 $400
🎬 Culture 51.4% 18W/17L 25 $347
💵 Economy 100.0% 2W/0L 10 $52
⚽ Sports 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $39
🔬 Science 2 $29
🌤 Weather 1 $14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? No 14 0.993 $14.23 $0.20 +1.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5? Yes 14 1.000 $13.94 $0.45 +3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? Yes 14 1.000 $13.85 $0.69 +5.2%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 13 0.966 $12.93 $0.16 +1.3%
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 13 0.850 $10.74 $-0.13 -1.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? No 14 0.730 $10.48 $-0.29 -2.7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 21 0.485 $10.40 $3.32 +47.0%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 16 0.655 $10.34 $3.24 +45.6%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 10 0.955 $9.55 $0.65 +7.3%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 10 0.935 $9.34 $0.85 +10.0%
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 9 0.955 $8.60 $-0.04 -0.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 14 0.590 $8.42 $0.86 +11.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 10 0.865 $8.37 $-0.05 -0.6%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 11 0.675 $7.31 $-0.81 -10.0%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 11 0.665 $7.05 $-0.26 -3.6%
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 7 0.941 $6.68 $0.00 +0.0%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 7 0.865 $5.82 $-0.24 -3.9%
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.981 $4.90 $0.45 +10.2%
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 9 0.555 $4.85 $-3.19 -39.7%
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No 5 0.955 $4.77 $0.22 +4.9%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? No 5 0.945 $4.72 $0.62 +15.2%
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.940 $4.70 $0.20 +4.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? No 5 0.939 $4.69 $0.09 +2.0%
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.925 $4.62 $0.88 +23.3%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.905 $4.53 $0.07 +1.7%