ilyck
0xfdf3c0af3b50b11cab3334042a54606a5fdb68ae
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$639
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-71.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
4%
1W / 25L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
3%
1W / 28L
Trades (30d)
29
across 6 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$127.80
avg win $7 · loss $162
Profit Factor
0.01
$7 won / $646 lost
Reward / Risk
0.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$243
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $345,952
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
40.9%
54W/78L
|
43 |
$14,939 |
|
💵 Economy
|
0.0%
0W/2L
|
2 |
$193 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
No |
200 |
0.765 |
$153.00 |
$1.00 |
+0.7% |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? |
No |
100 |
0.440 |
$44.00 |
$-6.00 |
-12.0% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? |
Yes |
144 |
0.195 |
$28.01 |
$-7.90 |
-22.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
100 |
0.278 |
$27.75 |
$0.05 |
+0.2% |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? |
Yes |
157 |
0.140 |
$21.98 |
$-49.02 |
-69.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
100 |
0.135 |
$13.45 |
$-0.65 |
-4.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
341 |
0.019 |
$6.65 |
$-24.02 |
-78.3% |