PnL (30d)

−$2,726

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$61

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-28.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

41%

54W / 78L · 43 open

Win Return (30d)

47%

82W / 93L

Trades (30d)

175

across 43 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$82.59

avg win $48 · loss $206

Profit Factor

0.22

$775 won / $3,501 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$243

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.9% 54W/78L	43	$14,939
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$193

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	200	0.765	$153.00	$1.00	+0.7%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	No	100	0.440	$44.00	$-6.00	-12.0%
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?	Yes	144	0.210	$30.16	$-5.75	-16.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	100	0.278	$27.75	$0.05	+0.2%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?	Yes	157	0.140	$21.98	$-49.02	-69.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.135	$13.45	$-0.65	-4.6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	341	0.019	$6.65	$-24.02	-78.3%