PnL (30d)

−$42

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

32%

215W / 459L · 24 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

226W / 466L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

698

across 336 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.13

avg win $5 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.92

$447 won / $489 lost

Reward / Risk

2.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	31.9% 215W/459L	336	$2,662
🌤 Weather	78.6% 11W/3L	12	$31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	9	0.170	$1.56	$-0.44	-22.1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?	No	1	0.890	$1.27	$0.27	+27.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6?	Yes	3	0.420	$1.11	$0.11	+10.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6?	Yes	3	0.340	$1.06	$0.06	+6.2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	5	0.155	$0.78	$-0.23	-22.5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	5	0.165	$0.75	$-0.25	-25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	10	0.069	$0.66	$-0.34	-34.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	6	0.001	$0.00	$-1.00	-99.7%