PnL (30d)

+$34

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$29

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

18W / 6L · 89 open

Win Return (30d)

50%

55W / 54L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

113

across 42 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$3.43

avg win $6 · loss $6

Profit Factor

4.02

$46 won / $11 lost

Reward / Risk

1.00

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.1% 37,707W/5,076L	14512	$1,060,819
🌤 Weather	95.3% 3,853W/192L	1629	$75,871
🏛 Politics	90.9% 481W/48L	496	$43,996
⚽ Sports	95.0% 151W/8L	463	$27,814
🎬 Culture	92.0% 461W/40L	311	$18,234
💵 Economy	97.6% 328W/8L	226	$27,543
🤖 Tech	67.3% 68W/33L	98	$6,044
₿ Crypto	90.9% 50W/5L	60	$1,075
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	20	$785

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	45	0.476	$21.44	$20.08	+1472.4%
Will Londrina win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.471	$16.03	$14.49	+937.3%
Will Vila Nova win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.456	$15.50	$13.96	+903.2%
Will Athletic win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.456	$15.50	$13.96	+903.2%
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.451	$15.33	$13.79	+892.2%
Will Atlético Goianiense win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.450	$15.30	$13.75	+890.0%
Will Ceará win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.450	$15.28	$13.74	+888.9%
Will Goiás win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.448	$15.21	$13.67	+884.5%
Will Doug Petno be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?	Yes	30	0.490	$14.70	$12.55	+586.0%
Will Cuiabá win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.427	$14.52	$12.97	+839.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 5?	No	10	0.997	$9.97	$-0.02	-0.2%
Will Operário Ferroviário win Brazil Série B?	Yes	17	0.463	$7.87	$7.10	+918.6%
Will Juan Manuel Cerundolo Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.245	$7.35	$7.03	+2203.0%
Will Ignacio Buse Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.245	$7.35	$7.03	+2203.0%
Will Botafogo-SP win Brazil Série B?	Yes	17	0.377	$6.54	$5.75	+729.4%
Will Fredrikstad win Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	45	0.117	$5.29	$2.79	+111.5%
Will Jenson Brooksby Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.175	$5.25	$4.93	+1545.0%
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	10	0.505	$4.81	$4.42	+1112.0%
Will Flavio Cobolli Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.155	$4.65	$4.33	+1357.0%
Will Kamil Majchrzak Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.145	$4.35	$4.03	+1263.0%
Will Botic van de Zandschulp Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.145	$4.35	$4.03	+1263.0%
Will Casper Ruud Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.145	$4.35	$4.03	+1263.0%
Will Cameron Norrie Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.145	$4.35	$4.03	+1263.0%
Will Nuno Borges Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.145	$4.35	$4.03	+1263.0%
Will Jesper de Jong Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.145	$4.35	$4.03	+1263.0%