PnL (30d)

−$78

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

84%

108W / 20L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

81%

112W / 27L · 21 open

Trades (30d)

160

across 106 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$1.04

avg win $1 · loss $12

Profit Factor

0.49

$76 won / $154 lost

Reward / Risk

0.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$5

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.1% 37,703W/5,075L	14261	$1,040,483
🌤 Weather	95.3% 3,853W/192L	1566	$73,320
🏛 Politics	90.9% 478W/48L	476	$38,828
⚽ Sports	95.0% 151W/8L	424	$26,096
🎬 Culture	92.0% 461W/40L	304	$17,562
💵 Economy	97.6% 328W/8L	226	$27,403
🤖 Tech	67.3% 68W/33L	98	$6,044
₿ Crypto	90.9% 50W/5L	52	$1,009
🔬 Science	100.0% 2W/0L	19	$757

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bradley Beal play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	45	0.474	$21.35	$19.99	+1465.8%
Will Ceará win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.480	$16.34	$14.79	+957.1%
Will Goiás win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.479	$16.29	$14.74	+953.8%
Will Vila Nova win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.468	$15.89	$14.35	+928.5%
Will Londrina win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.456	$15.49	$13.94	+902.1%
Will Athletic win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.456	$15.49	$13.94	+902.1%
Will Atlético Goianiense win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.450	$15.28	$13.74	+888.9%
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.446	$15.15	$13.60	+880.1%
Will Doug Petno be the next CEO of JPMorgan Chase?	Yes	30	0.490	$14.70	$12.55	+586.0%
Will Cuiabá win Brazil Série B?	Yes	34	0.427	$14.54	$12.99	+840.5%
Will Ugo Humbert Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.395	$11.85	$11.53	+3613.1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 5?	No	10	0.995	$9.95	$-0.04	-0.4%
Will Hubert Hurkacz Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.330	$9.90	$9.58	+3002.1%
Will Zizou Bergs Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.330	$9.90	$9.58	+3002.1%
Will James Duckworth Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.330	$9.90	$9.58	+3002.1%
Will Sebastian Baez Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Pablo Carreno Busta Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Brandon Nakashima Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Sebastian Korda Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Arthur Fery Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Francisco Cerundolo Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Luciano Darderi Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Terence Atmane Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Matteo Arnaldi Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%
Will Jiri Lehecka Win the Cincinnati Open?	Yes	30	0.285	$8.55	$8.23	+2578.1%