| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
203 |
0.998 |
$202.56 |
$2.56 |
+1.3% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? |
No |
236 |
0.805 |
$189.94 |
$-10.06 |
-5.0% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
205 |
0.845 |
$173.25 |
$3.25 |
+1.9% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
106 |
0.905 |
$95.84 |
$-4.16 |
-4.2% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? |
Yes |
562 |
0.170 |
$95.57 |
$-34.43 |
-26.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.897 |
$93.56 |
$-1.44 |
-1.5% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? |
No |
88 |
0.925 |
$81.33 |
$6.33 |
+8.4% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
75 |
0.974 |
$72.69 |
$22.69 |
+45.4% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.855 |
$59.65 |
$-0.35 |
-0.6% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
57 |
0.925 |
$52.99 |
$7.99 |
+17.7% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.992 |
$52.77 |
$2.77 |
+5.5% |
| Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.955 |
$49.53 |
$-0.47 |
-0.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? |
No |
54 |
0.910 |
$49.14 |
$-0.86 |
-1.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
55 |
0.850 |
$47.04 |
$-2.96 |
-5.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.941 |
$42.56 |
$2.56 |
+6.4% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.933 |
$40.24 |
$0.23 |
+0.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026? |
No |
42 |
0.850 |
$35.60 |
$0.60 |
+1.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.745 |
$33.86 |
$3.86 |
+12.9% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.967 |
$31.19 |
$1.19 |
+4.0% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
33 |
0.945 |
$31.15 |
$1.15 |
+3.8% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.980 |
$30.93 |
$0.93 |
+3.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.979 |
$30.66 |
$0.66 |
+2.2% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.970 |
$30.62 |
$0.62 |
+2.1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.979 |
$30.58 |
$0.58 |
+1.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.997 |
$30.57 |
$0.57 |
+1.9% |