| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
203 |
0.998 |
$202.56 |
$2.56 |
+1.3% |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? |
No |
236 |
0.805 |
$189.94 |
$-10.06 |
-5.0% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
205 |
0.835 |
$171.20 |
$1.20 |
+0.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? |
No |
106 |
0.905 |
$95.84 |
$-4.16 |
-4.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.894 |
$93.30 |
$-1.70 |
-1.8% |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? |
Yes |
562 |
0.160 |
$89.95 |
$-40.05 |
-30.8% |
| Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30? |
No |
88 |
0.925 |
$81.33 |
$6.33 |
+8.4% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
75 |
0.966 |
$72.09 |
$22.09 |
+44.2% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.855 |
$59.65 |
$-0.35 |
-0.6% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.992 |
$52.77 |
$2.77 |
+5.5% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026? |
No |
57 |
0.920 |
$52.70 |
$7.70 |
+17.1% |
| Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? |
No |
52 |
0.949 |
$49.24 |
$-0.76 |
-1.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? |
No |
54 |
0.910 |
$49.14 |
$-0.86 |
-1.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
55 |
0.850 |
$47.04 |
$-2.96 |
-5.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
45 |
0.946 |
$42.81 |
$2.81 |
+7.0% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
No |
43 |
0.929 |
$40.07 |
$0.06 |
+0.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026? |
No |
42 |
0.850 |
$35.60 |
$0.60 |
+1.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.745 |
$33.86 |
$3.86 |
+12.9% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
33 |
0.945 |
$31.15 |
$1.15 |
+3.8% |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.961 |
$31.00 |
$1.00 |
+3.3% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.975 |
$30.77 |
$0.77 |
+2.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in August 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.979 |
$30.64 |
$0.64 |
+2.1% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
32 |
0.970 |
$30.63 |
$0.63 |
+2.1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.978 |
$30.56 |
$0.56 |
+1.9% |
| Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? |
No |
31 |
0.981 |
$30.55 |
$0.55 |
+1.8% |