PnL (30d)

−$17

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$178

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

3%

2W / 73L · 365 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

8W / 373L · 59 open

Trades (30d)

440

across 125 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.90

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.02

$0 won / $17 lost

Reward / Risk

0.31

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.4% 146W/4,165L	1506	$124,458
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	53	$3,623
🌤 Weather	2.1% 3W/137L	31	$2,038
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/16L	27	$1,540
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/3L	21	$1,538
⚽ Sports	—	18	$1,158
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/16L	13	$646
🤖 Tech	—	5	$255
🔬 Science	—	1	$146

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	45	0.184	$8.28	$-11.52	-58.2%
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	Yes	45	0.005	$0.25	$-14.60	-98.3%