PnL (30d)

−$66

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$260

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

7%

7W / 99L · 224 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

7W / 312L · 11 open

Trades (30d)

330

across 82 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$2.07

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.01

$1 won / $67 lost

Reward / Risk

0.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$7

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	3.3% 143W/4,135L	1491	$123,454
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/3L	50	$3,433
🌤 Weather	2.1% 3W/137L	30	$1,965
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/16L	26	$1,489
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/3L	20	$1,438
⚽ Sports	—	18	$1,158
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/16L	12	$596
🤖 Tech	—	5	$255
🔬 Science	—	1	$146

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	45	0.222	$9.97	$-9.83	-49.7%
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	Yes	45	0.005	$0.25	$-14.60	-98.3%