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Trader leaderboard/ZalphaAI

ZalphaAI

0xfc1f2cdad82b15b8191b9985dd1ac70441bca246
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$161
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
15W / 19L · 14 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
23W / 23L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
48
across 15 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$16.13
avg win $9 · loss $41
Profit Factor
0.21
$43 won / $205 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$101
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,792 · all-time $267,070

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.6% 229W/162L 174 $66,881
💵 Economy 25.0% 3W/9L 11 $1,577
₿ Crypto 30.0% 3W/7L 9 $1,295
🏛 Politics 20.0% 1W/4L 7 $816
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/7L 7 $1,152
⚽ Sports 60.0% 3W/2L 4 $208
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $31

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 502 0.815 $409.23 $34.23 +9.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? Yes 440 0.860 $378.25 $3.25 +0.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 335 0.845 $283.48 $33.48 +13.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 306 0.915 $279.63 $29.63 +11.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 332 0.825 $273.71 $23.71 +9.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? No 289 0.925 $267.14 $17.14 +6.9%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? No 281 0.940 $264.48 $14.36 +5.7%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 281 0.895 $251.57 $1.57 +0.6%
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes 281 0.895 $251.44 $1.44 +0.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 358 0.695 $248.94 $-1.07 -0.4%
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes 279 0.880 $245.82 $-4.18 -1.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 167 0.855 $142.73 $17.73 +14.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? Yes 185 0.715 $132.41 $7.41 +5.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 137 0.955 $131.19 $6.18 +4.9%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? No 142 0.900 $127.84 $2.84 +2.3%
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? No 142 0.895 $127.28 $2.28 +1.8%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No 140 0.885 $124.30 $-0.70 -0.6%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No 201 0.615 $123.33 $-1.67 -1.3%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 140 0.855 $120.08 $-4.92 -3.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 140 0.815 $114.46 $-10.55 -8.4%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? No 135 0.830 $111.96 $-10.54 -8.6%
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? Yes 481 0.165 $79.35 $16.85 +27.0%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? No 92 0.712 $65.71 $3.21 +5.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 76 0.850 $64.79 $2.29 +3.7%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 69 0.940 $64.56 $2.06 +3.3%