| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
502 |
0.795 |
$399.24 |
$24.24 |
+6.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
440 |
0.870 |
$382.65 |
$7.65 |
+2.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
306 |
0.895 |
$273.51 |
$23.51 |
+9.4% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? |
No |
285 |
0.955 |
$271.85 |
$21.85 |
+8.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
335 |
0.805 |
$270.06 |
$20.06 |
+8.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
332 |
0.810 |
$268.73 |
$18.73 |
+7.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? |
No |
289 |
0.925 |
$267.14 |
$17.14 |
+6.9% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
281 |
0.940 |
$264.48 |
$14.36 |
+5.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
281 |
0.895 |
$251.44 |
$1.44 |
+0.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
281 |
0.885 |
$248.76 |
$-1.24 |
-0.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
279 |
0.885 |
$247.21 |
$-2.79 |
-1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
358 |
0.645 |
$231.06 |
$-18.94 |
-7.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
167 |
0.815 |
$136.03 |
$11.03 |
+8.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
185 |
0.725 |
$134.27 |
$9.27 |
+7.4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
137 |
0.945 |
$129.81 |
$4.81 |
+3.8% |
| Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31? |
No |
142 |
0.895 |
$127.28 |
$2.28 |
+1.8% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
142 |
0.895 |
$127.13 |
$2.13 |
+1.7% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? |
No |
201 |
0.620 |
$124.33 |
$-0.67 |
-0.5% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? |
No |
140 |
0.885 |
$124.30 |
$-0.70 |
-0.6% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
140 |
0.850 |
$119.38 |
$-5.62 |
-4.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
140 |
0.835 |
$117.28 |
$-7.73 |
-6.2% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August? |
No |
135 |
0.845 |
$113.99 |
$-8.52 |
-7.0% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? |
Yes |
481 |
0.165 |
$79.35 |
$16.85 |
+27.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
92 |
0.730 |
$67.37 |
$4.87 |
+7.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? |
Yes |
76 |
0.850 |
$64.79 |
$2.29 |
+3.7% |