Log in
Trader leaderboard/XAE12Archangel

XAE12Archangel

0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5,389
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$418
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
2,805W / 2,092L · 215 open
Win Return (30d)
57%
2,923W / 2,189L
Trades (30d)
5,112
across 26 markets · ~197 per market
EV / position
−$538.92
avg win $15,599 · loss $38,195
Profit Factor
0.95
$109,194 won / $114,584 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$17,547
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $284,094 · all-time $366,464,019

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.7% 2,822W/3,940L 61 $2,627,138
💵 Economy 38.0% 126W/206L 18 $129,836
🏛 Politics 38.0% 126W/206L 17 $257,196
₿ Crypto 9 $1,695
🎬 Culture 1 $13

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 41,565 0.545 $22,652.84 $-95.06 -0.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 47,851 0.395 $18,900.98 $8,630.95 +84.0%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 18,761 0.968 $18,151.48 $625.95 +3.6%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 13,960 0.885 $12,354.50 $306.15 +2.5%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 19,646 0.555 $10,903.67 $1,365.43 +14.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No 3,541 0.935 $3,310.79 $176.40 +5.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5,094 0.445 $2,266.69 $25.47 +1.1%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 10,952 0.115 $1,259.44 $-930.79 -42.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No 1,267 0.855 $1,083.15 $110.57 +11.4%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No 759 0.958 $726.36 $262.29 +56.5%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes 55,494 0.011 $638.18 $-10,460.57 -94.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 400 0.981 $392.20 $31.40 +8.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? No 400 0.974 $389.60 $1.20 +0.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? No 399 0.975 $388.83 $1.80 +0.5%
Obama federally charged before 2027? No 371 0.953 $353.23 $23.81 +7.2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No 406 0.795 $322.42 $-4.25 -1.3%
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes 66,910 0.004 $301.10 $-13,080.99 -97.8%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 333 0.865 $288.36 $1.74 +0.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 300 0.941 $282.15 $-9.75 -3.3%
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in August? No 286 0.947 $270.35 $-8.14 -2.9%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 300 0.855 $256.50 $76.60 +42.6%
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No 248 0.945 $234.62 $60.42 +34.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August? No 231 0.981 $226.61 $2.36 +1.1%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in August? No 200 0.982 $196.40 $0.01 +0.0%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No 210 0.929 $195.19 $11.34 +6.2%