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Trader leaderboard/XAE12Archangel

XAE12Archangel

0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
PnL (30d)
−$27,123
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,613
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
2,822W / 3,940L · 2,928 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
4,658W / 5,030L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
9,690
across 61 markets · ~159 per market
EV / position
−$1,232.85
avg win $9,112 · loss $13,646
Profit Factor
0.80
$109,339 won / $136,462 lost
Reward / Risk
0.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$39,681
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $259,301 · all-time $366,434,694

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 41.7% 2,822W/3,940L 61 $2,624,699
💵 Economy 35.5% 249W/453L 21 $260,540
🏛 Politics 35.8% 249W/447L 17 $386,422
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/6L 11 $2,687
🎬 Culture 1 $13

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

62 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 56,665 0.545 $30,882.34 $-129.59 -0.4%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 18,761 0.970 $18,189.01 $663.47 +3.8%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 32,851 0.405 $13,304.48 $6,034.42 +83.0%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 22,726 0.555 $12,613.02 $1,643.67 +15.0%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No 13,960 0.885 $12,354.50 $306.15 +2.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No 3,541 0.935 $3,310.79 $176.40 +5.6%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 5,043 0.445 $2,244.17 $25.22 +1.1%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 15,228 0.125 $1,903.51 $-1,141.87 -37.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No 1,267 0.865 $1,095.82 $123.24 +12.7%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No 759 0.958 $726.36 $262.29 +56.5%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes 40,494 0.011 $465.68 $-7,633.07 -94.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 400 0.981 $392.20 $31.40 +8.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? No 400 0.975 $389.80 $1.40 +0.4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? No 399 0.971 $387.23 $0.20 +0.1%
Obama federally charged before 2027? No 371 0.953 $353.23 $23.81 +7.2%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No 406 0.790 $320.39 $-6.27 -1.9%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 333 0.865 $288.36 $1.74 +0.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 300 0.938 $281.40 $-10.50 -3.6%
Will Chainlink dip to $2 in August? No 286 0.947 $270.35 $-8.14 -2.9%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 300 0.855 $256.50 $76.60 +42.6%
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes 51,910 0.004 $233.60 $-10,148.49 -97.8%
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? No 248 0.935 $232.14 $57.94 +33.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August? No 231 0.978 $225.80 $1.55 +0.7%
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in August? No 200 0.982 $196.30 $-0.09 -0.0%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No 210 0.929 $195.19 $11.34 +6.2%