Vladpoutino
0xfba638c083dcd88a6711a1ffba4352c5431a1fca
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$2,230
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,085
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
23W / 2L · 136 open
Win Return (30d)
99%
159W / 2L
Trades (30d)
161
across 8 markets · ~20 per market
EV / position
+$557.41
avg win $824 · loss $241
Profit Factor
10.25
$2,471 won / $241 lost
Reward / Risk
3.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,180 · all-time $2,258,686
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
36,778 |
0.987 |
$36,281.48 |
$308.38 |
+0.9% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
8,757 |
0.635 |
$5,560.92 |
$17.26 |
+0.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
7,773 |
0.525 |
$4,081.01 |
$660.09 |
+19.3% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.980 |
$1,176.00 |
$45.60 |
+4.0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.989 |
$444.82 |
$4.51 |
+1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
267 |
0.965 |
$257.65 |
$14.68 |
+6.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.615 |
$61.57 |
$-22.53 |
-26.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.075 |
$22.50 |
$-19.50 |
-46.4% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.750 |
$14.47 |
$1.75 |
+13.8% |