Vladpoutino
0xfba638c083dcd88a6711a1ffba4352c5431a1fca
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$2,200
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$604
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
22W / 2L · 144 open
Win Return (30d)
93%
156W / 12L
Trades (30d)
168
across 6 markets · ~28 per market
EV / position
+$733.21
avg win $1,220 · loss $241
Profit Factor
10.13
$2,441 won / $241 lost
Reward / Risk
5.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $25,180 · all-time $2,258,686
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
36,778 |
0.983 |
$36,134.37 |
$161.27 |
+0.4% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
Yes |
8,757 |
0.625 |
$5,473.35 |
$-70.31 |
-1.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
7,773 |
0.515 |
$4,003.28 |
$582.36 |
+17.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.981 |
$1,176.60 |
$46.20 |
+4.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
450 |
0.990 |
$445.27 |
$4.96 |
+1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
267 |
0.959 |
$255.92 |
$12.95 |
+5.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.625 |
$62.58 |
$-21.53 |
-25.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.065 |
$19.50 |
$-22.50 |
-53.6% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.745 |
$14.37 |
$1.65 |
+13.0% |