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Trader leaderboard/GN2

GN2

0xfba277382e9f1c8dc2f93ba4eafacfd5d37297c1
PnL (30d)
+$1
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
55%
66W / 53L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
78W / 57L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
136
across 63 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.01
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.01
$48 won / $48 lost
Reward / Risk
0.49
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $276 · all-time $103,097

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 55.5% 66W/53L 63 $254
🏛 Politics 80.0% 4W/1L 7 $24
🎬 Culture 80.0% 4W/1L 4 $10
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $4
₿ Crypto 1 $1
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 20 0.886 $18.16 $5.23 +40.4%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No 12 0.987 $11.47 $0.02 +0.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 11 0.935 $10.37 $2.17 +26.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.915 $6.60 $0.61 +10.2%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.972 $5.99 $0.13 +2.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 15 0.356 $5.32 $0.80 +17.7%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 5 0.987 $5.24 $0.14 +2.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 6 0.840 $5.06 $0.66 +15.1%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.951 $4.86 $0.21 +4.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.964 $4.61 $0.36 +8.5%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 5 0.915 $4.60 $0.53 +13.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 70 0.065 $4.52 $-16.52 -78.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 4 0.981 $4.35 $0.35 +8.7%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? No 5 0.910 $4.18 $0.18 +4.6%
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? Yes 4 0.983 $4.10 $0.16 +3.9%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 5 0.835 $3.93 $-0.07 -1.8%
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.940 $3.89 $0.14 +3.7%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.935 $3.86 $0.35 +10.0%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 4 0.943 $3.84 $0.14 +3.7%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.992 $3.81 $0.02 +0.5%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 4 0.885 $3.48 $0.10 +3.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 4 0.680 $3.02 $-0.36 -10.5%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No 4 0.715 $3.00 $0.82 +37.5%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 15 0.165 $2.51 $-2.34 -48.2%
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? No 2 0.805 $2.01 $0.46 +29.8%