| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.835 |
$1,669.99 |
$59.01 |
+3.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
650 |
0.853 |
$554.13 |
$9.68 |
+1.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
577 |
0.935 |
$539.58 |
$28.58 |
+5.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
500 |
0.885 |
$442.50 |
$42.50 |
+10.6% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
600 |
0.675 |
$405.00 |
$43.00 |
+11.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
400 |
1.000 |
$399.80 |
$65.80 |
+19.7% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
423 |
0.907 |
$383.85 |
$36.37 |
+10.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
400 |
0.945 |
$378.00 |
$-2.00 |
-0.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
400 |
0.930 |
$372.00 |
$27.33 |
+7.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.845 |
$253.50 |
$-6.30 |
-2.4% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.825 |
$247.45 |
$41.49 |
+20.1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.775 |
$232.50 |
$10.50 |
+4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.968 |
$193.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.963 |
$192.50 |
$1.10 |
+0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
200 |
0.952 |
$190.30 |
$0.30 |
+0.2% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$1.00 |
+0.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.940 |
$188.00 |
$10.00 |
+5.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.01 |
$19.00 |
+11.3% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.01 |
$3.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$7.00 |
+3.9% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.915 |
$183.00 |
$13.00 |
+7.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
200 |
0.895 |
$179.01 |
$-1.00 |
-0.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.895 |
$179.01 |
$3.00 |
+1.7% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
201 |
0.865 |
$173.84 |
$-7.03 |
-3.9% |