| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.845 |
$1,689.99 |
$79.01 |
+4.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
650 |
0.850 |
$552.18 |
$7.73 |
+1.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
577 |
0.935 |
$539.58 |
$28.58 |
+5.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
500 |
0.875 |
$437.50 |
$37.50 |
+9.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
600 |
0.675 |
$405.00 |
$43.00 |
+11.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
400 |
0.999 |
$399.60 |
$65.60 |
+19.6% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
No |
423 |
0.907 |
$383.85 |
$36.37 |
+10.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
400 |
0.955 |
$382.00 |
$2.00 |
+0.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
No |
400 |
0.920 |
$368.00 |
$23.33 |
+6.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.835 |
$250.50 |
$-9.30 |
-3.6% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.825 |
$247.45 |
$41.49 |
+20.1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.775 |
$232.50 |
$10.50 |
+4.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.965 |
$192.90 |
$-0.10 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.958 |
$191.50 |
$0.10 |
+0.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? |
No |
200 |
0.953 |
$190.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.3% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$1.00 |
+0.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$11.00 |
+6.2% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.935 |
$187.01 |
$19.00 |
+11.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$7.00 |
+3.9% |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$3.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.915 |
$183.00 |
$13.00 |
+7.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
200 |
0.905 |
$181.01 |
$1.00 |
+0.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
200 |
0.885 |
$177.01 |
$1.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
267 |
0.655 |
$174.67 |
$14.67 |
+9.2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
201 |
0.865 |
$173.84 |
$-7.03 |
-3.9% |