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Trader leaderboard/jwd103103

jwd103103

0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$61
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
5W / 0L · 71 open
Win Return (30d)
80%
61W / 15L
Trades (30d)
76
across 17 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$61.12
avg win $61
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,108 · all-time $328,999

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.3% 48W/71L 125 $4,622
💵 Economy 83.3% 5W/1L 20 $856
🤖 Tech 100.0% 3W/0L 13 $722
🎬 Culture — 10 $320
🏛 Politics — 7 $117
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $54
⚽ Sports — 1 $53

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

82 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes 1,350 0.745 $1,005.97 $173.40 +20.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? Yes 275 0.805 $221.04 $28.59 +14.9%
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 750 0.235 $176.17 $-2.92 -1.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.175T by August 31? Yes 215 0.650 $139.75 $-30.20 -17.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by August 31? No 128 0.800 $102.65 $28.49 +38.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes 209 0.460 $96.26 $-6.99 -6.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31? No 86 0.850 $72.82 $5.58 +8.3%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 597 0.110 $65.63 $-18.75 -22.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 250 0.261 $65.12 $2.58 +4.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 100 0.540 $54.00 $1.20 +2.3%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 75 0.715 $53.62 $6.88 +14.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 61 0.825 $50.00 $12.73 +34.2%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 170 0.285 $48.43 $0.78 +1.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31? No 116 0.405 $47.03 $-23.31 -33.1%
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026? Yes 177 0.265 $46.91 $-10.48 -18.3%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes 76 0.565 $42.93 $-0.39 -0.9%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 275 0.155 $42.62 $4.43 +11.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 104 0.390 $40.75 $-8.13 -16.6%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 250 0.151 $37.80 $21.53 +132.3%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes 250 0.150 $37.51 $-13.00 -25.7%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by August 31? Yes 40 0.846 $33.82 $5.82 +20.8%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes 67 0.405 $27.24 $1.33 +5.1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31? Yes 63 0.385 $24.20 $14.77 +156.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 58 0.395 $22.86 $2.28 +11.1%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes 50 0.430 $21.50 $11.50 +115.0%