PnL (30d)

−$159

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

48W / 71L · 235 open

Win Return (30d)

44%

155W / 197L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

354

across 125 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$2.88

avg win $22 · loss $19

Profit Factor

0.75

$478 won / $636 lost

Reward / Risk

1.13

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$56

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.3% 48W/71L	125	$4,618
💵 Economy	85.7% 6W/1L	20	$932
🤖 Tech	100.0% 4W/0L	13	$798
🎬 Culture	—	10	$316
🏛 Politics	—	7	$117
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$54
⚽ Sports	—	1	$53

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

82 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	1,350	0.745	$1,005.97	$173.40	+20.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	275	0.780	$214.17	$21.72	+11.3%
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	750	0.235	$176.17	$-2.92	-1.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.175T by August 31?	Yes	215	0.650	$139.75	$-30.20	-17.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	209	0.460	$96.26	$-6.99	-6.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by August 31?	No	128	0.735	$94.31	$20.15	+27.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?	No	86	0.820	$70.25	$3.01	+4.5%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	597	0.110	$65.63	$-18.75	-22.2%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	250	0.261	$65.12	$2.58	+4.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.1T by August 31?	No	116	0.495	$57.49	$-12.86	-18.3%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	75	0.715	$53.62	$6.88	+14.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.535	$53.55	$0.75	+1.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	61	0.825	$50.00	$12.73	+34.2%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	170	0.285	$48.43	$0.78	+1.6%
Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?	Yes	177	0.265	$46.91	$-10.48	-18.3%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	275	0.165	$45.38	$7.18	+18.8%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	76	0.565	$42.93	$-0.39	-0.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	104	0.380	$39.70	$-9.18	-18.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	250	0.150	$37.51	$-13.00	-25.7%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	250	0.146	$36.56	$20.28	+124.6%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by August 31?	Yes	40	0.853	$34.10	$6.10	+21.8%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	67	0.405	$27.24	$1.33	+5.1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by August 31?	Yes	63	0.385	$24.20	$14.77	+156.7%
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	50	0.430	$21.50	$11.50	+115.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	58	0.365	$21.12	$0.54	+2.6%