PnL (30d)

−$6

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-17.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

10%

1W / 9L · 1 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

1W / 10L

Trades (30d)

11

across 3 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$3.02

avg win $3 · loss $9

Profit Factor

0.34

$3 won / $9 lost

Reward / Risk

0.34

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.2% 8W/36L	20	$415
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/9L	2	$56

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	74	0.160	$11.87	$1.87	+18.7%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	14	0.615	$8.79	$3.79	+75.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.480	$4.91	$-0.09	-1.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	9	0.465	$4.01	$-0.99	-19.8%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	24	0.045	$1.07	$-3.93	-78.6%