vozomnil
0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$14
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$95
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
17W / 4L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
87%
33W / 5L
Trades (30d)
38
across 10 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$2.75
avg win $4 · loss $2
Profit Factor
9.10
$15 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
2.27
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,517 · all-time $320,261
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,000 |
0.969 |
$969.00 |
$2.00 |
+0.2% |
| Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
860 |
0.963 |
$827.83 |
$-2.58 |
-0.3% |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.927 |
$185.50 |
$-2.70 |
-1.4% |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
No |
92 |
0.946 |
$87.43 |
$2.36 |
+2.8% |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? |
No |
92 |
0.871 |
$79.73 |
$-1.55 |
-1.9% |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 22, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.920 |
$37.08 |
$8.46 |
+29.6% |
| Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? |
No |
26 |
0.986 |
$25.44 |
$1.19 |
+4.9% |