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Trader leaderboard/RATHMA4

RATHMA4

0xf9ac4c4ef54ee6010a28299ec1d616b63bf7806e
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$274
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$12
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
59W / 12L · 4 open
Win Return (30d)
84%
61W / 12L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
75
across 21 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$14.43
avg win $18 · loss $13
Profit Factor
11.38
$301 won / $26 lost
Reward / Risk
1.34
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$20
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $17,916 · all-time $2,110,272

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.3% 615W/260L 339 $105,946
₿ Crypto 70.8% 17W/7L 33 $5,184
💵 Economy 63.0% 17W/10L 29 $4,656
🏛 Politics 67.5% 27W/13L 19 $3,773
🤖 Tech 80.0% 8W/2L 11 $1,224
🎬 Culture 80.0% 24W/6L 8 $2,191
🔬 Science 1 $59

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

122 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? Yes 700 0.945 $661.50 $66.50 +11.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes 600 0.953 $571.77 $33.80 +6.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? No 500 0.988 $493.75 $38.75 +8.5%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.935 $467.50 $70.50 +17.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 500 0.855 $427.50 $67.50 +18.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 500 0.615 $307.50 $-122.50 -28.5%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 300 0.915 $274.50 $21.50 +8.5%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes 710 0.335 $237.91 $-337.14 -58.6%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? No 200 0.988 $197.60 $7.60 +4.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? No 200 0.982 $196.37 $7.40 +3.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 200 0.945 $189.00 $9.00 +5.0%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 200 0.930 $186.01 $9.00 +5.1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August? Yes 200 0.910 $182.10 $0.10 +0.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 200 0.895 $179.00 $17.00 +10.5%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 200 0.895 $179.00 $3.00 +1.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? No 200 0.890 $177.99 $8.00 +4.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No 200 0.825 $165.00 $13.00 +8.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.810 $162.00 $-7.00 -4.1%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes 200 0.795 $159.00 $-19.00 -10.7%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 600 0.265 $159.00 $-176.99 -52.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? Yes 200 0.765 $153.00 $1.00 +0.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 241 0.625 $150.53 $-9.47 -5.9%
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 154 0.935 $144.07 $16.39 +12.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 500 0.225 $112.50 $-282.50 -71.5%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 141 0.775 $109.15 $9.15 +9.2%