PnL (30d)

−$3,549

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$299

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

615W / 260L · 316 open

Win Return (30d)

67%

751W / 378L · 62 open

Trades (30d)

1,191

across 339 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$15.77

avg win $25 · loss $107

Profit Factor

0.52

$3,916 won / $7,465 lost

Reward / Risk

0.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,232

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.3% 615W/260L	339	$105,946
₿ Crypto	70.8% 17W/7L	33	$5,184
💵 Economy	63.0% 17W/10L	29	$4,656
🏛 Politics	67.5% 27W/13L	19	$3,773
🤖 Tech	80.0% 8W/2L	11	$1,224
🎬 Culture	80.0% 24W/6L	8	$2,191
🔬 Science	—	1	$59

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

122 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	700	0.935	$654.50	$59.50	+10.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	600	0.964	$578.07	$40.10	+7.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	No	500	0.988	$494.00	$39.00	+8.6%
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	500	0.935	$467.50	$70.50	+17.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	500	0.855	$427.50	$67.50	+18.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	500	0.625	$312.50	$-117.50	-27.3%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	300	0.915	$274.50	$21.50	+8.5%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	710	0.325	$230.81	$-344.24	-59.9%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	No	200	0.988	$197.60	$7.60	+4.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	No	200	0.982	$196.37	$7.40	+3.9%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	200	0.945	$189.00	$9.00	+5.0%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	200	0.930	$186.01	$9.00	+5.1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in August?	Yes	200	0.909	$181.80	$-0.20	-0.1%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	200	0.895	$179.00	$3.00	+1.7%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	200	0.890	$177.99	$8.00	+4.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	200	0.885	$177.00	$15.00	+9.3%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	200	0.825	$165.00	$13.00	+8.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.810	$162.00	$-7.00	-4.1%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	0.795	$159.00	$-19.00	-10.7%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	600	0.265	$159.00	$-176.99	-52.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	200	0.765	$153.00	$1.00	+0.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	241	0.620	$149.32	$-10.68	-6.7%
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	154	0.935	$144.07	$16.39	+12.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	500	0.220	$110.00	$-285.00	-72.2%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	141	0.780	$109.86	$9.86	+9.9%