| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
271 |
0.924 |
$250.35 |
$0.70 |
+0.3% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? |
No |
244 |
0.994 |
$241.94 |
$5.46 |
+2.3% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
202 |
0.995 |
$200.99 |
$1.82 |
+0.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
301 |
0.645 |
$194.39 |
$-12.70 |
-6.1% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? |
No |
181 |
0.954 |
$172.35 |
$2.08 |
+1.2% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
259 |
0.580 |
$150.00 |
$12.12 |
+8.8% |
| Spread: FC Carl Zeiss Jena (-2.5) |
FC Carl Zeiss Jena |
221 |
0.510 |
$112.93 |
$33.22 |
+41.7% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? |
No |
126 |
0.880 |
$110.88 |
$2.52 |
+2.3% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.916 |
$91.95 |
$18.01 |
+24.4% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
No |
279 |
0.310 |
$86.48 |
$-6.26 |
-6.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? |
No |
366 |
0.235 |
$86.01 |
$-29.42 |
-25.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
299 |
0.264 |
$78.83 |
$11.25 |
+16.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
265 |
0.290 |
$76.77 |
$-78.62 |
-50.6% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.180 |
$53.90 |
$-47.70 |
-46.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
211 |
0.255 |
$53.85 |
$-3.24 |
-5.7% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.175 |
$52.40 |
$-17.66 |
-25.2% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? |
No |
725 |
0.071 |
$51.76 |
$-244.97 |
-82.6% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? |
Yes |
299 |
0.159 |
$47.42 |
$-56.05 |
-54.2% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
No |
65 |
0.685 |
$44.29 |
$10.02 |
+29.2% |
| Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28? |
Yes |
159 |
0.260 |
$41.22 |
$10.42 |
+33.8% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
386 |
0.105 |
$40.53 |
$-26.86 |
-39.9% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? |
No |
129 |
0.314 |
$40.49 |
$6.08 |
+17.7% |
| Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.785 |
$39.25 |
$11.75 |
+42.7% |
| Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? |
No |
39 |
0.925 |
$36.26 |
$4.90 |
+15.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
Yes |
141 |
0.220 |
$31.06 |
$-43.55 |
-58.4% |