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Trader leaderboard/kroko

kroko

0xf8ccc51356ad11e3d884f4beeaca81bb08fe028a
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
62%
591W / 364L · 42 open
Win Return (30d)
61%
606W / 391L
Trades (30d)
997
across 93 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$0.01
avg win $4 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.99
$107 won / $107 lost
Reward / Risk
1.78
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $92,773 · all-time $40,250,635

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.8% 1,457W/1,471L 249 $2,112
🏛 Politics 68.4% 277W/128L 39 $253
🎬 Culture 68.4% 277W/128L 39 $253
💵 Economy 5 $90

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 2,474 0.004 $11.13 $8.66 +350.0%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 121 0.040 $4.83 $-0.94 -16.3%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 61 0.048 $2.93 $-0.06 -2.0%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 4,500 0.001 $2.25 $-7.09 -75.9%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 4,000 0.001 $2.00 $-2.17 -52.0%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 3,220 0.001 $1.61 $-1.61 -50.0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes 389 0.004 $1.56 $0.39 +33.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 824 0.002 $1.24 $-2.06 -62.5%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes 3 0.250 $0.70 $-0.22 -24.2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 1,099 0.001 $0.55 $-1.71 -75.6%
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? Yes 4 0.055 $0.20 $-0.24 -54.2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 325 0.001 $0.16 $-1.14 -87.5%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 237 0.001 $0.12 $-0.12 -50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? Yes 16 0.005 $0.09 $-0.02 -14.8%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? Yes 3 0.021 $0.05 $0.01 +33.6%