PnL (30d)

+$80

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$13

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

1,457W / 1,463L · 355 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

1,739W / 1,533L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

3,275

across 244 markets · ~13 per market

EV / position

+$0.36

avg win $5 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.26

$390 won / $310 lost

Reward / Risk

2.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$84

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.9% 1,457W/1,463L	244	$2,065
🏛 Politics	68.1% 290W/136L	37	$262
🎬 Culture	68.1% 290W/136L	37	$262
💵 Economy	—	5	$105

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	2,474	0.005	$12.37	$9.90	+400.0%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	86	0.056	$4.77	$0.36	+8.1%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	61	0.066	$4.03	$1.04	+34.7%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	38	0.100	$3.75	$0.38	+11.1%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	4,500	0.001	$2.25	$-7.09	-75.9%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	824	0.003	$2.06	$-1.24	-37.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.001	$2.00	$-2.17	-52.0%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	3,220	0.001	$1.61	$-1.61	-50.0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	389	0.004	$1.56	$0.39	+33.3%
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	3	0.250	$0.70	$-0.22	-24.2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,099	0.001	$0.55	$-1.71	-75.6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	200	0.003	$0.50	$-0.38	-43.5%
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	Yes	4	0.055	$0.20	$-0.24	-54.2%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	325	0.001	$0.16	$-1.14	-87.5%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	237	0.001	$0.12	$-0.12	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	16	0.005	$0.08	$-0.02	-22.5%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	3	0.021	$0.05	$0.01	+33.6%