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Trader leaderboard/unclefei028

unclefei028

0xf88b89de6c9d1b419d9155a5a33e22aa7c530ed2
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$19
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
79%
15W / 4L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
22W / 10L
Trades (30d)
32
across 13 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$3.11
avg win $12 · loss $15
Profit Factor
1.63
$48 won / $30 lost
Reward / Risk
0.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,922 · all-time $203,814

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.0% 410W/502L 675 $8,562
⚽ Sports 47.1% 122W/137L 198 $1,480
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $217
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $122
🤖 Tech 1 $16
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1
🎬 Culture 1 $15
🌤 Weather 1 $15
🔬 Science 1 $15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes 249 0.930 $231.46 $4.52 +2.0%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 150 0.905 $135.75 $11.25 +9.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.655 $131.00 $-1.00 -0.8%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 130 0.920 $119.59 $33.20 +38.4%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 190 0.585 $111.15 $48.25 +76.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.962 $96.20 $21.10 +28.1%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? Yes 100 0.885 $88.50 $6.10 +7.4%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 100 0.865 $86.50 $-0.50 -0.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 120 0.635 $76.20 $7.80 +11.4%
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No 80 0.845 $67.60 $-2.30 -3.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 60 0.845 $50.70 $2.10 +4.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $-1.50 -3.3%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 50 0.865 $43.25 $1.75 +4.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 50 0.825 $41.25 $-1.75 -4.1%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes 59 0.585 $34.23 $2.23 +7.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 60 0.525 $31.50 $0.90 +2.9%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 50 0.455 $22.75 $0.25 +1.1%
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes 30 0.745 $22.35 $1.95 +9.6%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 20 0.979 $19.57 $4.57 +30.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? Yes 20 0.885 $17.70 $1.70 +10.6%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 10 0.910 $9.10 $1.90 +26.4%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 20 0.285 $5.70 $-0.90 -13.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10 0.539 $5.39 $0.03 +0.6%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 8 0.600 $5.09 $0.08 +1.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? No 15 0.170 $2.55 $-6.90 -73.0%