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Trader leaderboard/unclefei028

unclefei028

0xf88b89de6c9d1b419d9155a5a33e22aa7c530ed2
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
2W / 4L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
3W / 4L
Trades (30d)
7
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.58
avg win $7 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.32
$7 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
2.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,922 · all-time $203,814

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.8% 407W/501L 670 $8,494
⚽ Sports 46.7% 119W/136L 193 $1,456
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 4 $173
💵 Economy 100.0% 1W/0L 3 $122
🤖 Tech 1 $16
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $1
🎬 Culture 1 $15
🌤 Weather 1 $15
🔬 Science 1 $15

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes 249 0.930 $231.46 $4.52 +2.0%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 150 0.905 $135.75 $11.25 +9.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.655 $131.00 $-1.00 -0.8%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 130 0.890 $115.69 $29.30 +33.9%
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 190 0.580 $110.20 $47.30 +75.2%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? No 100 0.963 $96.30 $21.20 +28.2%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 100 0.875 $87.50 $0.50 +0.6%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? Yes 100 0.870 $87.00 $4.60 +5.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 120 0.625 $75.00 $6.60 +9.6%
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No 80 0.845 $67.60 $-2.30 -3.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 60 0.835 $50.10 $1.50 +3.1%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 100 0.445 $44.50 $-1.50 -3.3%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 50 0.865 $43.25 $1.75 +4.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 50 0.845 $42.25 $-0.75 -1.7%
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes 59 0.580 $33.94 $1.94 +6.1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 60 0.515 $30.90 $0.30 +1.0%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 50 0.455 $22.75 $0.25 +1.1%
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes 30 0.720 $21.60 $1.20 +5.9%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? No 20 0.979 $19.57 $4.57 +30.5%
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026? Yes 20 0.885 $17.70 $1.70 +10.6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 10 1.000 $9.99 $5.69 +132.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 10 0.895 $8.95 $1.75 +24.3%
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 20 0.285 $5.70 $-0.90 -13.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10 0.540 $5.40 $0.04 +0.8%
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? Yes 8 0.585 $4.96 $-0.04 -0.9%