PnL (30d)

+$2

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

2W / 2L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

29%

2W / 5L

Trades (30d)

7

across 6 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

+$0.65

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

8.46

$2 won / $0 lost

Reward / Risk

16.92

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.2% 465W/1,074L	976	$1,182
₿ Crypto	38.2% 52W/84L	72	$144
🎬 Culture	69.2% 9W/4L	7	$22
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/3L	5	$3
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	7	0.165	$1.16	$0.10	+10.0%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	3	0.275	$0.95	$-0.05	-5.2%
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	20	0.037	$0.74	$0.54	+270.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.015	$0.30	$-0.22	-42.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.018	$0.18	$-0.81	-81.5%
Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	30	0.004	$0.13	$-0.02	-10.1%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.003	$0.03	$-0.57	-95.8%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.001	$0.01	$-0.34	-98.6%