PnL (30d)

+$8

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$2

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+56.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

13W / 12L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

13W / 15L

Trades (30d)

28

across 15 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.65

avg win $4 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.81

$12 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

8.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	30.2% 465W/1,077L	977	$1,183
₿ Crypto	37.4% 52W/87L	73	$145
🎬 Culture	69.2% 9W/4L	7	$22
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/3L	5	$3
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	4	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	7	0.165	$1.16	$0.10	+10.0%
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet	Corentin Moutet	3	0.265	$0.91	$-0.09	-8.6%
Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	20	0.036	$0.72	$0.52	+260.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	Yes	20	0.013	$0.25	$-0.27	-51.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.018	$0.18	$-0.81	-81.5%
Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	Yes	30	0.004	$0.13	$-0.02	-10.1%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.003	$0.03	$-0.57	-95.8%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10	0.001	$0.01	$-0.34	-98.6%