| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
71 |
0.375 |
$26.65 |
$16.70 |
+167.9% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
29 |
0.905 |
$26.35 |
$26.35 |
+0.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
28 |
0.715 |
$19.82 |
$10.12 |
+104.3% |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? |
No |
20 |
0.962 |
$19.43 |
$9.53 |
+96.2% |
| Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? |
No |
31 |
0.590 |
$18.42 |
$8.74 |
+90.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
55 |
0.305 |
$16.86 |
$6.91 |
+69.4% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
62 |
0.255 |
$15.94 |
$5.94 |
+59.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.830 |
$15.50 |
$15.50 |
+0.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
25 |
0.565 |
$14.05 |
$4.10 |
+41.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
47 |
0.290 |
$13.74 |
$3.79 |
+38.1% |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
23 |
0.595 |
$13.67 |
$9.08 |
+197.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
15 |
0.890 |
$13.62 |
$3.67 |
+36.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
77 |
0.165 |
$12.63 |
$2.68 |
+26.9% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.830 |
$12.55 |
$3.41 |
+37.3% |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? |
Yes |
23 |
0.535 |
$12.33 |
$2.65 |
+27.4% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
13 |
0.885 |
$11.49 |
$1.49 |
+14.9% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.724 |
$11.37 |
$1.42 |
+14.3% |
| Will Lazio Rome win on 2026-08-05? |
Yes |
12 |
0.945 |
$11.36 |
$1.50 |
+15.2% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.743 |
$11.08 |
$1.13 |
+11.4% |
| Spread: Lazio Rome (-1.5) |
Lazio Rome |
13 |
0.850 |
$11.01 |
$1.17 |
+11.8% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.275 |
$10.95 |
$1.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? |
Yes |
25 |
0.425 |
$10.80 |
$1.14 |
+11.8% |
| Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? |
No |
11 |
0.976 |
$10.75 |
$0.83 |
+8.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
12 |
0.875 |
$10.73 |
$0.80 |
+8.0% |
| Seattle Reign FC vs. Angel City FC: O/U 4.5 |
Under |
12 |
0.870 |
$10.72 |
$0.86 |
+8.7% |