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Trader leaderboard/V4grant

V4grant

0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$14
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+26.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
3W / 2L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
5W / 5L
Trades (30d)
10
across 8 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$3.54
avg win $10 · loss $3
Profit Factor
3.36
$20 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
3.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,315 · all-time $266,579

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.2% 16W/105L 218 $4,673
🏛 Politics 18.2% 2W/9L 40 $1,768
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/9L 21 $49
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/7L 20 $89
🔬 Science 4 $27
💵 Economy 4 $73
🌤 Weather 2 $23
⚽ Sports 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 798 0.845 $674.65 $374.66 +124.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 1,333 0.440 $586.40 $186.41 +46.6%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 648 0.855 $554.12 $154.12 +38.5%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No 971 0.320 $310.80 $10.80 +3.6%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No 476 0.625 $297.44 $47.45 +19.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 303 0.815 $246.87 $-3.13 -1.3%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes 476 0.475 $226.21 $26.21 +13.1%
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? No 240 0.820 $196.74 $-3.26 -1.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 194 0.840 $163.22 $13.22 +8.8%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? No 209 0.680 $142.21 $-7.79 -5.2%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No 315 0.445 $140.25 $-59.75 -29.9%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? No 133 0.900 $120.00 $20.00 +20.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 156 0.745 $116.41 $16.41 +16.4%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? No 130 0.770 $100.16 $0.16 +0.2%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? No 146 0.670 $97.94 $-2.06 -2.1%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 152 0.625 $94.98 $-5.02 -5.0%
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? No 130 0.725 $94.16 $-5.84 -5.8%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 143 0.650 $93.20 $-6.80 -6.8%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No 125 0.745 $93.12 $-6.88 -6.9%
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? No 146 0.545 $79.81 $-20.19 -20.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 88 0.865 $75.71 $50.71 +202.8%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No 254 0.280 $71.24 $-28.76 -28.8%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? Yes 115 0.565 $65.19 $15.19 +30.4%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 88 0.740 $64.91 $14.91 +29.8%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? No 72 0.875 $63.23 $13.23 +26.5%