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Trader leaderboard/V4grant

V4grant

0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8
PnL (30d)
−$318
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$63
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-12.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
13%
16W / 104L · 152 open
Win Return (30d)
26%
70W / 200L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
272
across 218 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$3.42
avg win $32 · loss $7
Profit Factor
0.48
$289 won / $607 lost
Reward / Risk
4.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$36
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,290 · all-time $266,554

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.3% 16W/104L 218 $4,673
🏛 Politics 18.2% 2W/9L 40 $1,768
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/9L 21 $49
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/7L 20 $89
🔬 Science 4 $27
💵 Economy 4 $73
🌤 Weather 2 $23
⚽ Sports 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 798 0.845 $674.65 $374.66 +124.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 1,333 0.440 $586.40 $186.41 +46.6%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 648 0.855 $554.12 $154.12 +38.5%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? No 971 0.320 $310.80 $10.80 +3.6%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No 476 0.625 $297.44 $47.45 +19.0%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 303 0.815 $246.87 $-3.13 -1.3%
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? Yes 476 0.475 $226.21 $26.21 +13.1%
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? No 240 0.810 $194.34 $-5.66 -2.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 194 0.835 $162.25 $12.25 +8.2%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? No 209 0.680 $142.21 $-7.79 -5.2%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No 315 0.445 $140.25 $-59.75 -29.9%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? No 133 0.895 $119.33 $19.33 +19.3%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 156 0.745 $116.41 $16.41 +16.4%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? No 130 0.770 $100.16 $0.16 +0.2%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? No 146 0.665 $97.21 $-2.79 -2.8%
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? No 130 0.725 $94.16 $-5.84 -5.8%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? No 152 0.615 $93.46 $-6.54 -6.5%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? No 143 0.650 $93.20 $-6.80 -6.8%
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? No 125 0.745 $93.12 $-6.88 -6.9%
Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? No 146 0.545 $79.81 $-20.19 -20.2%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 88 0.845 $73.95 $48.95 +195.8%
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No 254 0.275 $69.97 $-30.03 -30.0%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? Yes 115 0.565 $65.19 $15.19 +30.4%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 88 0.735 $64.47 $14.47 +28.9%
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? No 72 0.875 $63.23 $13.23 +26.5%