| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.981 |
$1,960.99 |
$121.24 |
+6.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.935 |
$1,870.00 |
$60.00 |
+3.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,000 |
0.835 |
$1,670.00 |
$136.10 |
+8.9% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
50,000 |
0.030 |
$1,525.01 |
$296.90 |
+24.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,500 |
0.968 |
$1,451.25 |
$-11.75 |
-0.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.820 |
$1,230.10 |
$57.89 |
+4.9% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1,010 |
0.979 |
$988.28 |
$-1.43 |
-0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.987 |
$986.50 |
$82.50 |
+9.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.925 |
$925.15 |
$54.04 |
+6.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,000 |
0.875 |
$875.00 |
$10.20 |
+1.2% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
1,003 |
0.725 |
$727.24 |
$129.31 |
+21.6% |
| Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee? |
Yes |
497 |
0.981 |
$487.56 |
$19.08 |
+4.1% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.460 |
$459.50 |
$-20.46 |
-4.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
400 |
0.865 |
$346.00 |
$18.00 |
+5.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.278 |
$277.50 |
$-1.50 |
-0.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
400 |
0.625 |
$250.00 |
$-1.10 |
-0.4% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.966 |
$193.20 |
$47.20 |
+32.3% |
| Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? |
No |
198 |
0.875 |
$172.82 |
$13.95 |
+8.8% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$23.00 |
+16.0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.725 |
$145.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.117 |
$116.47 |
$-2.95 |
-2.5% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
100 |
0.966 |
$96.55 |
$11.65 |
+13.7% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.920 |
$92.00 |
$3.00 |
+3.4% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.895 |
$89.50 |
$9.50 |
+11.9% |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? |
No |
100 |
0.859 |
$85.84 |
$7.05 |
+8.9% |