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Trader leaderboard/KramerLosesItAll

KramerLosesItAll

0xf5ba73e13697872633ea3d20076a1d91135a5b5e
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$39
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$26
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
10W / 7L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
22W / 10L
Trades (30d)
32
across 10 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$9.70
avg win $49 · loss $68
Profit Factor
0.72
$98 won / $137 lost
Reward / Risk
0.72
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$110
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,307 · all-time $301,378

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.7% 145W/49L 97 $46,209
🏛 Politics 89.5% 17W/2L 16 $4,522
💵 Economy 42.9% 3W/4L 5 $741
🤖 Tech 2 $48
🎬 Culture 100.0% 8W/0L 2 $76
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $17

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 2,000 0.978 $1,954.99 $115.24 +6.3%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 2,000 0.935 $1,870.00 $60.00 +3.3%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,000 0.845 $1,690.00 $156.10 +10.2%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 50,000 0.030 $1,525.01 $296.90 +24.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 1,500 0.973 $1,459.50 $-3.50 -0.2%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 1,500 0.820 $1,230.10 $57.89 +4.9%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 1,010 0.983 $992.33 $2.61 +0.3%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,000 0.987 $986.50 $82.50 +9.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.925 $925.15 $54.04 +6.2%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 1,000 0.865 $865.00 $0.20 +0.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No 1,003 0.725 $727.24 $129.31 +21.6%
Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee? Yes 497 0.981 $487.81 $19.33 +4.1%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,000 0.460 $459.50 $-20.46 -4.3%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 400 0.865 $346.00 $18.00 +5.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 1,000 0.278 $277.50 $-1.50 -0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes 400 0.615 $246.00 $-5.10 -2.0%
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? Yes 200 0.970 $194.00 $48.00 +32.9%
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? No 198 0.875 $172.82 $13.95 +8.8%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 200 0.835 $167.00 $23.00 +16.0%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No 200 0.725 $145.00 $-1.00 -0.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.117 $116.47 $-2.95 -2.5%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 100 0.996 $99.60 $14.70 +17.3%
US recession by end of 2026? No 100 0.905 $90.50 $1.50 +1.7%
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No 100 0.890 $89.00 $9.00 +11.2%
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No 100 0.859 $85.84 $7.05 +8.9%