PnL (30d)

−$145

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$48

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

1%

128W / 9,678L · 261 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

155W / 9,904L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

10,067

across 2,579 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$0.06

avg win $76 · loss $2

Profit Factor

0.96

$3,579 won / $3,725 lost

Reward / Risk

50.32

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$361

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	1.6% 516W/31,775L	8750	$13,065
🌤 Weather	1.8% 59W/3,312L	983	$1,192

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	150	1.000	$149.93	$144.68	+2755.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.990	$98.94	$96.09	+3372.3%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.980	$98.00	$94.50	+2700.0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	70	0.750	$52.50	$49.20	+1490.9%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	35	1.000	$34.98	$33.33	+2020.2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	23	0.970	$22.71	$21.44	+1687.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.095	$19.00	$10.60	+126.2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.060	$12.00	$9.00	+300.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.090	$9.00	$4.50	+100.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 6?	Yes	35	0.255	$8.93	$7.28	+440.9%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5?	Yes	70	0.120	$8.40	$5.10	+154.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	200	0.040	$8.00	$5.00	+166.7%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	160	0.040	$6.40	$0.80	+14.3%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 5?	Yes	100	0.050	$5.00	$0.80	+19.1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	100	0.046	$4.60	$1.10	+31.4%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	300	0.015	$4.50	$-7.05	-61.0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	150	0.027	$4.05	$1.80	+80.0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.040	$4.00	$-0.20	-4.8%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	82	0.045	$3.71	$0.04	+1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	60	0.060	$3.60	$0.45	+14.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.070	$3.50	$1.40	+66.7%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.035	$3.50	$-0.70	-16.7%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.150	$3.49	$2.22	+176.2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?	Yes	63	0.050	$3.17	$0.77	+32.0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 6?	Yes	47	0.065	$3.03	$2.10	+225.0%