PnL (30d)

+$2,045

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$64

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

2%

516W / 31,717L · 657 open

Win Return (30d)

2%

660W / 32,147L · 83 open

Trades (30d)

32,890

across 8,639 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$0.24

avg win $75 · loss $1

Profit Factor

1.17

$14,413 won / $12,367 lost

Reward / Risk

50.09

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$279

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	1.6% 516W/31,717L	8639	$12,891
🌤 Weather	1.7% 62W/3,523L	1026	$1,238

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

183 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	150	0.989	$148.35	$143.10	+2725.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.985	$98.49	$95.64	+3356.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 5?	Yes	35	0.990	$34.63	$32.98	+1999.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.260	$26.00	$22.50	+642.9%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.170	$17.00	$15.50	+1033.3%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	70	0.240	$16.80	$13.50	+409.1%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.155	$15.50	$11.30	+269.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	150	0.086	$12.96	$7.71	+146.9%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	300	0.035	$10.50	$-1.05	-9.1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	190	0.052	$9.88	$6.25	+172.1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on August 5?	Yes	23	0.385	$9.01	$7.74	+609.4%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	150	0.060	$9.00	$6.75	+300.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	200	0.045	$9.00	$2.00	+28.6%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	45	0.160	$7.23	$4.92	+213.4%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.115	$5.75	$3.65	+173.8%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.056	$5.55	$4.05	+270.0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	82	0.055	$4.54	$0.86	+23.5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	60	0.070	$4.20	$1.05	+33.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	100	0.040	$4.00	$2.00	+100.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	100	0.040	$4.00	$0.50	+14.3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.070	$3.50	$1.40	+66.7%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 5?	Yes	50	0.065	$3.25	$2.25	+225.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5?	Yes	100	0.033	$3.25	$1.75	+116.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.060	$3.00	$0.90	+42.9%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 5?	Yes	50	0.054	$2.70	$1.95	+260.0%