| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.880 |
$176.01 |
$-2.00 |
-1.1% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$-5.00 |
-5.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
89 |
0.900 |
$79.88 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? |
No |
100 |
0.797 |
$79.70 |
$-13.75 |
-14.7% |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? |
No |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.50 |
$-7.00 |
-8.8% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.632 |
$63.20 |
$-14.55 |
-18.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.155 |
$62.00 |
$-20.00 |
-24.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
80 |
0.770 |
$61.60 |
$-8.20 |
-11.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
60 |
0.870 |
$52.20 |
$1.23 |
+2.4% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.504 |
$50.40 |
$-29.95 |
-37.3% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? |
No |
87 |
0.580 |
$50.32 |
$-15.57 |
-23.6% |
| Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? |
No |
100 |
0.495 |
$49.50 |
$-23.50 |
-32.2% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.820 |
$49.20 |
$-3.30 |
-6.3% |
| Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
60 |
0.785 |
$47.10 |
$-6.00 |
-11.3% |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? |
No |
66 |
0.685 |
$44.87 |
$-1.31 |
-2.8% |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? |
No |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$-0.25 |
-0.6% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.830 |
$41.50 |
$-3.50 |
-7.8% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
No |
60 |
0.675 |
$40.44 |
$-4.50 |
-10.0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
60 |
0.670 |
$40.20 |
$-2.70 |
-6.3% |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? |
Yes |
47 |
0.825 |
$39.06 |
$-1.24 |
-3.1% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
46 |
0.825 |
$37.77 |
$-2.06 |
-5.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat? |
No |
40 |
0.924 |
$36.98 |
$-0.48 |
-1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat? |
No |
40 |
0.914 |
$36.58 |
$-0.48 |
-1.3% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.720 |
$36.00 |
$-1.50 |
-4.0% |
| Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy? |
No |
41 |
0.870 |
$35.85 |
$-1.24 |
-3.3% |