| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.895 |
$179.01 |
$1.00 |
+0.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
No |
180 |
0.875 |
$157.50 |
$-4.50 |
-2.8% |
| Will Kevin Kiermaier win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? |
Yes |
409 |
0.238 |
$97.26 |
$76.36 |
+365.3% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? |
No |
100 |
0.845 |
$84.50 |
$-5.00 |
-5.6% |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? |
No |
100 |
0.725 |
$72.50 |
$-7.00 |
-8.8% |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? |
No |
100 |
0.696 |
$69.55 |
$-23.90 |
-25.6% |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.628 |
$62.84 |
$-14.91 |
-19.2% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.625 |
$62.54 |
$-17.81 |
-22.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.145 |
$58.00 |
$-24.00 |
-29.3% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
No |
60 |
0.870 |
$52.20 |
$1.23 |
+2.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? |
No |
60 |
0.865 |
$51.90 |
$-0.90 |
-1.7% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? |
No |
87 |
0.580 |
$50.32 |
$-15.57 |
-23.6% |
| Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? |
No |
100 |
0.495 |
$49.50 |
$-23.50 |
-32.2% |
| Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? |
Yes |
60 |
0.805 |
$48.30 |
$-4.80 |
-9.0% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? |
Yes |
55 |
0.872 |
$48.19 |
$-0.46 |
-1.0% |
| Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? |
No |
66 |
0.690 |
$45.19 |
$-0.99 |
-2.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.750 |
$45.00 |
$-7.50 |
-14.3% |
| Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? |
No |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$-0.25 |
-0.6% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
No |
60 |
0.680 |
$40.74 |
$-4.20 |
-9.3% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? |
Yes |
60 |
0.670 |
$40.20 |
$-2.70 |
-6.3% |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? |
Yes |
47 |
0.825 |
$39.06 |
$-1.24 |
-3.1% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
46 |
0.825 |
$37.77 |
$-2.06 |
-5.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat? |
No |
40 |
0.924 |
$36.98 |
$-0.48 |
-1.3% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? |
Yes |
80 |
0.460 |
$36.80 |
$-20.40 |
-35.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat? |
No |
40 |
0.914 |
$36.58 |
$-0.48 |
-1.3% |